The Huffington Post’s Steve Rosenbaum writes:

When the Republicans choose their candidate on September 4th, there is a very real chance that they could throw the election into an unexpected chaos as they pull a genuine September Surprise.

John McCain won’t be the nominee. Ok, let me say that again. McCain will not be the Republican candidate in November

Here’s how it could happen:

At some point in mid August, John McCain will announce that he has decided that he can not accept his party’s nomination for president. The reason will be health-related, and that may turn out to be the truth. Anyone who’s seen him on stage these days knows he looks like he’s about to keel over.

But excuses or facts hardly matters. He won’t be accepting his party’s nomination.

The reasons are simple. He can’t win. Now that Obama is the presumptive Democratic nominee — the polls all show that McCain’s pro-war stance and Bush endorsement make him a lost cause in November. That combined with soft stand on litmus test conservative issues make him an unpopular candidate among the base…

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